Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 163.706433 179.450036 195.545536 213.202254 231.997714 251.378491 272.843989
2024-12-22 136.696356 160.031617 185.000568 213.581027 245.264217 279.187841 318.130841
2024-12-29 119.285048 148.417179 180.908486 219.521781 263.842915 312.814913 370.699031
2025-01-05 104.588092 137.865622 176.444125 223.880340 280.031667 343.786905 421.033174
2025-01-12 89.995529 125.599747 168.459382 222.890568 289.187946 366.346809 461.920234
2025-01-19 78.078507 115.149825 161.403806 221.935480 297.601613 387.627676 501.322458
2025-01-26 71.759207 111.032589 161.563202 229.377547 315.977594 420.869944 555.408436
2025-02-02 65.845205 106.731308 160.905922 235.347781 332.303433 451.663541 606.908126
2025-02-09 61.005420 103.329426 160.969030 241.904760 349.210465 483.240862 659.723888
2025-02-16 56.526405 99.937355 160.641284 247.645391 364.929938 513.398762 711.106620
2025-02-23 48.578479 90.613813 151.342415 240.568823 363.256935 521.035362 733.918703
2025-03-02 42.576272 83.605394 144.735018 236.639163 365.314259 533.160066 762.296024
2025-03-09 38.546336 79.415788 142.061455 238.224643 375.051819 555.783094 805.051333
2025-03-16 35.259673 76.115069 140.467926 241.208122 386.715197 581.144334 851.828810
2025-03-23 33.446057 75.130497 142.312351 249.205907 405.512554 616.342431 912.088294
2025-03-30 31.273583 73.282540 142.637218 254.861770 421.045371 647.346271 967.228441
2025-04-06 28.040885 69.150025 138.996109 254.272218 427.490149 665.973544 1006.031813
2025-04-13 25.116911 65.244119 135.414035 253.504562 433.498423 683.950592 1044.076692
2025-04-20 24.075227 64.880646 137.686651 261.869517 452.996803 720.853640 1108.180171
2025-04-27 22.826942 63.958916 138.910444 268.541579 470.052934 754.534829 1168.259223
2025-05-04 21.773359 63.313921 140.529299 275.816536 488.067021 789.729379 1230.738890
2025-05-11 20.653890 62.402267 141.593263 282.166040 504.751597 823.223888 1291.225646
2025-05-18 17.674057 57.023908 134.267279 274.396142 499.673191 825.536158 1308.446075